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OMG!  Letsrock, you have some serious hidden talent!  May be you should consider a part time job in the music industry!

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Thanks for the compliments.

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回復  古惑強


    I don't think he got the numbers right.   At 35, with one new born and family in ...
letsrock 發表於 2010-11-23 16:41


Just did a bit more maths on this case.

A) The guy is 35 yrs old, I think the bank would only consider a max 20 yrs mortgage for him, as 25 yrs mortgage will imply he can only pay off the loan when he gets to 60!
B) With house hold income at HK$25K per month, the mortgage bank will at best allow 40~45% of the month income as mortgage repayment, as the guy will only have 55~60% of monthly income left ($13,750~15,000) for all other household expenditure (supporting 2 adults, 1 elderly plus 1 child) will be really really tight.
C) If we assume the HIBOR interest rate hike will max out at 5% p.a., the mortgage rate would be 5% + 0.8% =5.8%.  Do remember that during 2007~2008 pre crisis time, Hibor was routinely hoovering around 4~5%, and that was not even a high interest rate era!

Borrowed Amount = PV (interest, number, installments)
=HK$1.6M (assuming 45% income is used for repayment)
=HK$1.4M (assuming 40% income is used for repayment)

Assuming the Mortgage Corp is willing to take up the extra 20% to bridge the grap and take the total financing ratio up to 90%, he can only afford property with a selling price of HK$1.55~1.77M.  He still need to have additional funds for the stamp duty, agent commission, lawyer fees & move in expenses etc, and the above calculations didn't factor in the mortgage corp insurance cost neither.  

From the newspaper info, he bought a flat with a price tag of HK$1.965M, he was already $200K over budget before all these shit had happened.  

Sad case really, only if he did talk to the bank / mortgage consultant before hand, they probably would have advised him not to buy anything property above HK$1.7M even before the government had announced the latest anti-speculation measure.

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Well, the guy was too desperate, and a bit naive.

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現在買樓有咩野策略?

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忠言逆耳

"無止境的等,不禁心動搖"


- 發送自我的 iPhone 大板凳應用

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唉!  我唔識講, 但唔建議去買!

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本帖最後由 greenbug 於 2012-9-18 11:19 編輯

買唔建議, 賣都唔建議...........

唉, 有好友都喺沙士, 雷慢買都平貨, 2年前賣左富榮, 之後租左我隔壁個坐, 買定花生等買平貨, 我就叫佢買, 個時3M, 而家4.5M.........佢而家佢都動搖, 開始睇樓..........何必呢......

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From Bloomberg


http://www.bloomberg.com/news/20 ... cash-mortgages.html

"Competing Buyers
Hong Kong homebuyers like Liu are losing out as investors from the rest of China push up prices. Buyers from the mainland accounted for about 54 percent of new home sales by value in Hong Kong in the third quarter of last year, according to Midland Holdings. The share fell to 37 percent in the first quarter, the Hong Kong-based broker said.
“I told myself to wait until the market pulls back, but it never seems to,” said Liu, who’s now prepared to pay as much as HK$4 million for a two-room apartment. “It’s been very frustrating.”
Qiushi Zhang, a 25-year-old graduate from the University of Toronto, convinced his parents in the Chinese city of Wuhan to purchase a two-bedroom condominium at Cityplace, a development along Toronto’s waterfront.
“People have money in mainland China, but they don’t have good investment options,” Zhang said by phone.
Canada is regarded by investors from China, Singapore and India as a relatively stable and affordable place to seek returns on real estate, said Debbie Cosic, a founder and partner of In2ition Marketing Insights. The Mississauga, Ontario-based brokerage markets new homes for developers."

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"無止境的等,不禁心動搖"


- 發送自我的 iPhone
AbarthJoe 發表於 2012-9-18 00:57



    你要撐著呀, 之前唔買, 宜家火紅先買會好大風險! 2013年前景一D都唔好, 忍住呀!

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